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Forecasting the policy future

Government makes judgements all the time. Yet how can we measure the accuracy of those making major decisions; decisions that could affect the lives of hundreds of thousands, and possibly the whole of society itself?

This session describes examples of how biases in government can lead to worse policymaking and presents forecasting as a tool which could structurally solve the problem. It explores how forecasting introduces more feedback into policymaking and can improve decision-making in conditions of scarce data. Dr Mark Egan and Robbie Tilleard of BIT take a look at their crystal ball to forecast the future of policy-making.